Emissions of greenhouse gases can reach its peak earlier than you think

Every November, the World Carbon Project releases the World Company of the Year₂ Greenhouse gas emissions are never good news. At a time when the world needs to be reduced, their numbers continue to climb. However, while greenhouse gas emissions have moved in the wrong direction, many of the underlying economic forces that guide them have gone the right way. This can be well -pressed for these different forces to be hard enough to eventually show balance.

In the year 2022, the International Energy Agency (IEA) said He expected Global greenhouse gas emissions to reach their peak by 2025. This estimate showed a major change from last year due to acceleration investments in post -war low carbon technologies in Ukraine. Restad Energy – Another Research and Analysis Group –He also expects A peak by the year 2025 Has already reached the peak In 2022, analysts may oppose precise history, but it is clear that the peak of greenhouse gas emissions is now in our understanding.

The world is currently using its electricity continuously. Solar and wind are growing rapidly, and in 2024 these two renewable energy sources can surpass the increase in electricity demand. If this happens, the burning of coal and gas will be reduced and it will be released.

Surprisingly, when it comes to publishing the peak, it depends on the world’s largest publisher, China. In 2023, its release was still on the rise. This is somewhat due to its improvement from Coveid-19. Continuous drought also means that its electricity production has declined. These factors still difficult to predict these: an unexpected event can always move the peak to another record.

However, China’s peak will soon be due to the high deployment of solar and wind ultrasound and increased nuclear energy. Soon, the country will add sufficient sustainable energy to meet its growing demand. Solar output and wind chinkle Is already enough To fully cover the use of electricity from some of the world’s largest economies such as Canada, Brazil, Russia, Japan and even the most populous country in the world, India. Alone in 2023 can be added enough to cover the total power consumption in the UK.

Another reason that may reach the peak of greenhouse gas emissions in 2024 is the electric car revolution. World sales of gasoline and diesel cars Half a decade Before, and IEA estimates that almost one in five cars Sold around the world They were electric in 2023. Previously, the agency did not expect this milestone to 2030. (In 2020, that was only 4 %.) The move towards EVs began to eat in global oil demand, until it reached its peak. According to a report from Bloomberg’s new financial energy, this Can be In early 2027.

Of course, the peak of publication is just the beginning. The world must be after Reduce Greenhouse gas emissions, and quickly. But downslope will be easier than a milestone, because energy transfer will no longer be in its early stages. I hope that 2024 will be the beginning of a low -carbon adult global economy.