The author of “The Art of the Deal” continues to negotiate by Putin Wahshi

It deceives me once, shame on you. He deceives me twice, shame on me.

Take me over and over again? I may surrender as well.

Again a day, even before taking office for the first time in 2017, President-elect Trump sent a clear message to Communist China and the world that he was not hindering through the conference or firm protocols that are no longer logical-at least for him.

Thus, when he received a congratulatory phone call from Taiwan Tsai Win, herself, herself in his position for eight months, routinely and generously accepted, like any other good wishes he received from world leaders. Since President Jimmy Carter, his advisers have rejected diplomatic relations in 1979 with the Republic of China (the official name of Taiwan), high -level US officials have no direct contact with Taiwanese counterparts. Frankly tell those who suffer from high eyebrows that he will talk to anyone who chose it.

His refreshing message gave the challenge of hope for the Taiwanese and their supporters in the United States and around the world. It seems that a new Sharif in the city will do much less than the supposed Beijing sensitivities around all things Taiwan.

Over the next four years, Trump has been supported in his direct approach-towards Taiwan and China-before the wonderful national security team in China in China. These included Vice President Mike Pines, Secretary of State Mike Bombo, successive national security consultants John Bolton and Robert O’Brien, their deputy Matt Putinger, the assistant secretary Randy Shrefar, and a group of foreign policy officials and Mediterranean security who participated in clear views on the various threats that were developed by the regime from the Chinese Communist Party.

After his second elections, the new Trump administration did not announce a congratulatory phone call from the new president in Taiwan, William Lay Cheng T-either because Lay had advised US officials not to start one and thus irritation of China, or because (less likely) happened but not announced.

The less mysterious explanation for the Trump team’s decision not to allow Lai to stop New York during his planned trip to South America, which was now canceled by the embarrassing Taiwanese President. Trump’s refusal to pass Lay short-even though the visit dating back several years of American tradition, Trump’s favorite practice. But this turmoil, instead of the Taiwan’s feature in the short term and the long -term interest in America, represents a big step back in the relationship of the United States Taiwan.

It has been clearly taken to ignite the road to TROMP-XI commercial conversations and Trump visiting in Beijing. There may be a more evil explanation for the abolition of Lay’s travel. There is a purely guess at this stage, the possibility of intelligence sources to discover a Chinese threat against Lai and recommended a wise cancellation of his travel, with public reports from both sides of the United States and Taiwan that provides a comfortable cover story.

Even the most innocent interpretation of the stopping of the from the toxic is a fateful indicator on how Trump calculates the balance of his American interests between China and Taiwan. The Pentagon Undersecretary of Trump’s Undersecretary may also reflect the role of the Pentagon, Elberbridge Colby, who has long opposed the flow of Biden weapons administration to Ukraine as resources that Taiwan needs to deter or defend it against the Chinese aggression.

In his confirmation session, Colby said that Taiwan is “important” for American interests, but it is “not present.” It is a new and proven understanding of American interests that depends greatly on the international perception of the credibility of the United States and its countless value in the reassuring allies and opponents.

The risk of decreasing credibility was shown with the abandonment of the catastrophic Biden of Afghanistan, which was followed during the most famous invasion of Vladimir Putin to Ukraine. Partially declined only through Trump’s dramatic strikes on Iran’s nuclear facilities last month. But there are still doubts about the credibility of the United States because Iran’s operation, although it is barely like many previous military strikes, may have been not repeated, and Iran continues to limit the restoration of its nuclear program.

For example, the dangerous analog in Taiwan will be a Chinese seizure of Simawi or some of the other Taiwanese island, or a Chinese siege, followed by a largely symbolic American military strike that fails to persuade Beijing to decline.

Washington’s dilemma, will be whether the kinetic and risks will be escalated from the track of commercial conversations and Trump’s visit to Beijing, or to accept the new situation. It explains the increase in the leverage that Trump granted with foolishness of Shi and the erosion of the diplomat that he was unjustified in Taiwan. Of course, China has its own cards, including blocking the rare Earth’s minerals that affect the American defense industry. The United States cannot afford the costs of bustling under these pressures without erosion of comprehensive security credibility.

Trump recently did not admit that he was often taken with Putin’s empty promises about ending the war in Ukraine – just as he indicated strongly in 2019 that Shi had deceived him about the nature and origins of Kovid. However, in both cases, he returned repeatedly to put his confidence in the words of dictators and rely on their good pure.

Worse, the opposite of its credibility with the authoritarian opponents of America is reflected in its apparent contempt for our democratic friends and allies in Ukraine and Taiwan. While Trump’s recent comments indicate that he may have finally seen the light on Putin, his pursuit of a commercial agreement and the pursuit of an invitation in China indicates another double victory for China. China has managed to achieve this alleged victory during every American presidential trip since Richard Nixon. In exchange for allowing Trump this time to visit, Beijing will extract US concessions during commercial talks-for example, for example, “Trump’s flexibility in TIK-TOK, at the same time benefiting from American respect in China in Taiwan.

To borrow Trump’s evaluation of most of his predecessors, this is the way to make America “stupid” again.

The only way that Trump can retrieve the missing credibility of America and deterring a tragic miscalculation from China is to declare clearly, especially since it will adhere to all the military force necessary to defend Taiwan.

Joseph a. Bosco is the position of Chinese rural director in the Minister of Defense Office, 2005-2006. He is a member of the Vandenberg Coalition and the Taiwan International Institute.